History · 22 models
Punctuality report
How late each model is published. “On time” means the whole run was out within 10 minutes of the expected time.
| Model | Runs | On time | Typical | Bad day (90%) | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HRRR | 47 | 100% | 6 min late | 8 min late | 10 min late |
| HRRR-Alaska | 16 | 100% | on time | 1 min late | 3 min late |
| NAM | 12 | 100% | 1 min early | on time | 1 min late |
| RAP | 47 | 100% | 1 min early | 2 min late | 4 min late |
| HREF / HiResW | 8 | 100% | 9 min early | 1 min late | 1 min late |
| SREF | 11 | 100% | 1 min early | 2 min late | 3 min late |
| HRDPS | 4 | 100% | 12 min early | 2 min early | 2 min early |
| HARMONIE MEPS (Nordic) | 10 | 100% | 2 min early | on time | on time |
| GFS | 12 | 100% | 1 min early | 1 min late | 1 min late |
| ECMWF IFS | 11 | 100% | on time | on time | on time |
| GDPS | 2 | 100% | 10 min early | 8 min early | 7 min early |
| ECMWF AIFS | 12 | 100% | on time | on time | on time |
| GEFS | 12 | 100% | 1 min early | on time | on time |
| ECMWF ENS | 11 | 100% | on time | on time | on time |
| RTOFS | 2 | 100% | 2 min early | 2 min early | 2 min early |
| GFS-Wave | 12 | 100% | 1 min early | 1 min late | 2 min late |
| ECMWF WAM | 11 | 100% | on time | on time | on time |
| NBM | 47 | 98% | 1 min early | 1 min late | 11 min late |
| HARMONIE DINI (DMI) | 24 | 96% | 28 min early | 2 min early | 17 min late |
| ICON-EU | 9 | 89% | 1 min early | 9 min late | 31 min late |
| ICON | 5 | 80% | 4 min early | 17 min late | 31 min late |
| ICON-D2 | 9 | 78% | on time | 37 min late | 52 min late |
Last updated 2026-10-06 23:33 UTC.