Punctuality report

How late each model is published. “On time” means the whole run was out within 10 minutes of the expected time.

ModelOn timeTypicalBad day (90%)Worst
HRRR100%6 min late8 min late10 min late
HRRR-Alaska100%on timeon time3 min late
NAM100%1 min earlyon time1 min late
RAP100%1 min early2 min late5 min late
HREF / HiResW100%9 min early1 min late3 min late
SREF100%1 min early2 min late3 min late
HRDPS100%24 min early6 min early2 min early
HARMONIE MEPS (Nordic)100%1 min early1 min late2 min late
GFS100%1 min early1 min late2 min late
ECMWF IFS100%on timeon timeon time
GDPS100%21 min early7 min early6 min early
ECMWF AIFS100%on timeon timeon time
GEFS100%1 min earlyon timeon time
ECMWF ENS100%on timeon timeon time
RTOFS100%2 min early1 min earlyon time
GFS-Wave100%1 min early1 min late2 min late
ECMWF WAM100%on timeon timeon time
NBM99%1 min early1 min late11 min late
HARMONIE DINI (DMI)98%22 min earlyon time17 min late
ICON-EU97%2 min early2 min late31 min late
ICON93%6 min early2 min early31 min late
ICON-D293%12 min early1 min late52 min late

Last updated 2026-10-09 12:39 UTC.